Nociceptive stimuli disrupt sleep, but may, or may not, entail an arousal. While arousal reactions go along with the activation of a widespread cortical network, the factors enabling such activation remain unknown. Here we used intracranial EEG in humans to test the relation between the cortical activity immediately preceding a noxious stimulus and the capacity of such a stimulus to trigger arousal. Intracranial EEG signals were analyzed during all-night sleep in 14 epileptic patients (4 women), who received laser stimuli slightly above their individual pain threshold. During 5 s preceding each stimulus, the functional correlation (spectral phase-coherence) between the main spinothalamic sensory area (posterior insula) and 12 other brain regions, grouped in four networks, as well as their spectral contents, were contrasted according to the presence of a stimulus-induced arousal, and then fed into a logistic regression model to assess their predictive value. Enhanced prestimulus phase-coherence between the ...